- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: FS1
The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on Wednesday, October 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 96-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 88-80 ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 12-8, 3.49 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 10-10, 3.61 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -115 | -105 |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -105 | -115 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 106 games (+12.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 away games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 150 games (+1.43 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 109 games (+23.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 110 games (+18.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 79-86 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 96-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 81-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -1.79% ROI
- 76-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -7.56% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 88-80 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 2.36% ROI).
- 93-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 4.65% ROI
- 86-77 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.54% ROI
- 77-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -8.92% ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (653/1,235) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has walked 8 of 49 right-handed batters (16%) in his last three starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has walked 8 of 60 batters (13%) in his last three starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of 1.278 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last three starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .617 — fourth Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (469/961) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,676/2,819) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (451/786) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 83-15 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Phillies are 12-120 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 39-162 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 79-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are 9-61 (.129) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 12-52 (.188) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are just 129-20 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Mets are 17-192 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .422 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Phillies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Phillies are batting .291 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,964 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mets are 9-61 (.129) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are batting .284 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mets hitters are slugging .627 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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