- The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
- Phillies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Pirates TV Channel: NSPA | SNPT | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Phillies are 37-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 29-36 ATS.
Phillies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 5-1, 3.14 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 4-6, 2.05 ERA
Phillies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +170 | O 6.5 +105 | -105 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -210 | U 6.5 -125 | -115 |
Phillies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+12.60 Units / 126% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul Skenes has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+9.24 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.16 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-33 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -6.05% ROI).
- 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.29% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -11.76% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3.35% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 29-36 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -17.3% ROI).
- 25-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -15.23% ROI
- 25-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -21.58% ROI
- 37-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.65 Units / 13.47% ROI
Pirates vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alexander Canario (PIT) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Pirates vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -110 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has a strikeout rate of 54% with two strikes this season — fifth highest among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two strikes last season — sixth lowest among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (422/732) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .133 (180 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .082 (14-for-170) against Paul Skenes with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (54-for-299) against Paul Skenes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .431 (117 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .663 — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Phillies are 8-15 (.348) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Phillies are 14-140 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 113-24 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Phillies are 20-62 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Pirates are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 14-44 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .783 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (4,583 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,714 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .681 (10,430 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .344 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .375 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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