- The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | NSP+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Phillies are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-10 ATS.
Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 3-0, 1.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 4.36 ERA
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -110 | -125 |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -110 | +105 |
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 10-12 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 6.39% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -22.38% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 12.89% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-10 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 7.72% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 16.77% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -28.1% ROI
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.9 MPH (45 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (40/63) against Ranger Suarez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has pitched 18.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 22.2.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (180/296) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 53% (10 SO in 19 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
63% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 34% (102/296) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 36% (19/52) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 29-121 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies are 92-52 (.639) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Phillies are 59-43 (.578) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies are 81-8 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 54-40 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 42-47 (.472) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are 30-60 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Reds are 28-13 (.683) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (2,170 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .775 (3,919 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .355 (301 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Phillies hitters have 540 strikeouts in 2,170 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 48 total hits (52%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Reds are batting .420 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .343 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .386 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
