- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Reds TV Channel: NSPA | BSOH
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Phillies are 15-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 1-2, 2.53 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-2, 2.70 ERA
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 11-12 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -2.54% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 8.7% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -25.59% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 16.27% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-11 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -4.46% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.44% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 11.73% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -22.61% ROI
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (16/22) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 77% (23/30) against Cristopher Sanchez — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (37/59) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (53/108) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (28/125) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (23/137) against Andrew Abbott this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (15/117) against Andrew Abbott in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (29/178) against Andrew Abbott this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 60-43 (.583) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies are 19-123 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Phillies are 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 82-8 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 21-25 (.457) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Reds are just 29-13 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Reds are just 42-47 (.472) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are just 33-54 (.379) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .502 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (550 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .739 (9,216 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .394 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 48 total hits (52%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds are batting just .124 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .164.
Reds hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .129 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (527 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .335 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .386 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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