- The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Reds
- Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Reds TV Channel: NSPA | BSOH
The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Phillies are 15-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 12-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 2-0, 1.23 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 2-0, 0.77 ERA
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 11-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 12-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has allowed a BABIP of .071 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a Spencer Turnbull slider was April 2nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his slider. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Spencer Turnbull this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull allowed an OPS of just .170 (24 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .606 — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (169/561) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Nick Lodolo when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (381/831) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has walked 1 of 46 batters (2%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 29-122 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies are 11-9 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 93-53 (.637) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Phillies are 82-8 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 55-40 (.579) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 43-19 (.694) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Reds are just 43-47 (.478) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are 30-21 (.588) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters are slugging .422 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .748 (4,901 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .738 (9,229 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 49 total hits (53%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Reds are batting just .093 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Reds hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (46%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have 71 extra-base hits out of 166 total hits (43%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .125 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .327 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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