- The Phillies are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-300) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+240) on Thursday, May 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Phillies are 31-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-33 ATS.
Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 2-0, 5.10 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 1-6, 8.78 ERA
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -2.5 -140 | O 11.5 -110 | -300 |
| Rockies | +2.5 +115 | U 11.5 -110 | +240 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.20 Units / 160% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.18 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.42 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.22 Units / 24% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 27-22 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 5.65% ROI).
- 31-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -12% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 4.01% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-33 against the Run Line (-17.4 Units / -31.32% ROI).
- 8-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.35 Units / -53.07% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -15.84% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 7.11% ROI
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Johan Rojas (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez (COL) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .691 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Ranger Suarez when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a in-zone of just 35% (462/1,317) in two strike counts since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (45/73) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position in 2023 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has an ERA of 8.78 (40.0 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (57-for-171) against German Marquez this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 11% (21 SO in 193 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 7-13 (.350) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 19-60 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 8-41 (.163) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rockies are just 89-37 (.701) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .275 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Phillies are batting .419 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Phillies are batting .287 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .280 (6,870 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Rockies are batting just .195 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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