Phillies vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 24

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Colorado Rockies center fielder Brenton Doyle (9) in the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 24, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • The Phillies are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: NSPA | ROTV

The Philadelphia Phillies (-225) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+180) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Phillies are 37-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 26-23 ATS.

Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-3, 3.17 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 1-2, 5.15 ERA

Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-2.5 +105O 11 -120-225
Rockies +2.5 -130U 11 +100+180

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+18.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 48 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+14.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.95 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 34 games (+25.60 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 35 games (+20.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games (+20.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 34 games (+19.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+16.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-21 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 18.08% ROI).

  • 37-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.85 Units / 19.95% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.54% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -8.44% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 26-23 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -3.04% ROI).

  • 16-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -14.86% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.28% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -8.24% ROI

Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125

Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Ty Blach (COL) 2.5 -120 2.5 -105

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (98/150) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .342 (25-for-73) against Cristopher Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (91/147) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

31 of Cristopher Sanchez’s 47 strikeouts (66%) have come on changeups this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .357 (109-for-305) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .363 (73-for-201) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .327 (130-for-397) against Ty Blach since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (87/605) against Ty Blach since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Phillies are 38-66 (.365) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Phillies are 55-38 (.591) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Rockies are just 94-56 (.627) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rockies are just 58-16 (.784) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .349 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Phillies hitters are slugging .507 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Phillies have scored first in 91% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

The Phillies have a winning percentage of 72% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .131 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Phillies have won 67% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.