- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
- Pirates vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Athletics TV Channel: NSCA | SNPT | ESPN+
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 15-14 ATS.
Pirates vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 2-1, 3.30 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joe Boyle 1-4, 7.07 ERA
Pirates vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -130 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -115 | +110 |
Pirates vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+17.20 Units / 215% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.90 Units / 297% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Shea Langeliers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-13 against the Run Line (+0.26 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.03 Units / 6.4% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 15-14 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 7.56% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 1.24% ROI
Athletics vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Athletics vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Esteury Ruiz (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Athletics vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (141/277) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a BABIP of .107 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (141/277) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .581 (140 Total Bases / 241 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .374 — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Boyle has allowed three-ball counts to 41% of batters they faced (28/68 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Joe Boyle has a strike rate of just 54% (155/289) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Joe Boyle has walked 15 of 68 left-handed batters (22%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Joe Boyle has walked 8 of 45 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Pirates are just 123-64 (.658) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Pirates are just 110-27 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Pirates are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 67-16 (.807) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Athletics are just 30-64 (.319) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 59-116 (.337) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Athletics are just 75-155 (.326) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .497 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .505 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,400 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,400 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (12,877 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,275 of 13,596 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 407.5 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 395.8
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Athletics have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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