- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Athletics
- Pirates vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Athletics TV Channel: NSCA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+100) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 17-14 ATS.
Pirates vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 0-1, 3.49 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Ross Stripling 0-5, 5.03 ERA
Pirates vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -120 | -120 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -165 | U 8 +100 | +100 |
Pirates vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.50 Units / 292% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 133 games (+10.44 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-15 against the Run Line (-1.74 Units / -4.05% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -9.34% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -16.14% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.03 Units / 8.96% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 17-14 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -2.15% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 14.17% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -13.48% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 4.06% ROI
Athletics vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Athletics vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seth Brown (ะะะ) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (24/33) against Quinn Priester — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (15/21) against Quinn Priester — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (24/33) against Quinn Priester over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has allowed an OPS of just .170 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .575 — 94th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .356 (26-for-73) against Ross Stripling’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .261 (66-for-253) against Ross Stripling with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .173 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .246 (16-for-65) against Ross Stripling with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fifth Percentile.
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (40 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — third Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Pirates are just 74-107 (.409) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Pirates are 16-9 (.640) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Pirates are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 123-64 (.658) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 61-116 (.345) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 18-44 (.290) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .321 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Pirates hitters have 385 strikeouts in 1,144 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Athletics are batting just .224 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Athletics are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,282 of 13,667 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Athletics pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 40% of the time after an opposing score since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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