- The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 31-33 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-0, 3.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 4-6, 5.35 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -115 | -130 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -105 | +110 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+13.50 Units / 123% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+18.15 Units / 96% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-29 against the Run Line (+4.51 Units / 5.22% ROI).
- 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 3.47% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.67 Units / -10.79% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 31-33 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 3.62% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (38 SO in 107 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.4 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .436 (58 Total Bases / 133 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (72 Total Bases / 113 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .320 (48-for-150) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .248 (33-for-133) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 11-15 (.423) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Pirates are just 42-52 (.447) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Pirates are just 81-19 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Pirates are just 14-24 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 30-12 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Cardinals are just 20-56 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cardinals are 28-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .940.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 48 strikeouts in 116 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .620 (717 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,390 of 14,999 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
BASE __basic__ __PTeamId__ __PT__ __ExitVeloMin_P__ __Overall__ Past
The Pirates have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 35 of 565 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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