- The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 71-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 78-74 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-9, 3.45 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+31.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 113 games (+7.92 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 67 away games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-72 against the Run Line (+2.83 Units / 1.44% ROI).
- 71-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.02 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 73-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 74-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.22 Units / -3.15% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 78-74 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 77-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.17 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.75% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (61/116) against Luis Ortiz when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .266 (57-for-214) against Luis Ortiz in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strike rate of just 64% (592/927) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (503/1,008) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (490/851) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,670/2,719) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (264/1,228) against Erick Fedde this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 59-7 (.894) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 6-43 (.122) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 7-35 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 39-19 (.672) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 43-27 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 89 strikeouts in 250 PA’s (36%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 61 extra-base hits out of 222 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .503 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,218 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,658 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,658 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 15 of 114 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,659 of 18,293 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have 247 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.73 (1524.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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