Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Dodgers are -210 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.

This season, the Pirates are 10-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 12-12 ATS.

Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 2-2, 2.87 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3-1, 0.95 ERA

Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -130O 7 -115+170
Dodgers -1.5 +110U 7 -105-210

Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+19.15 Units / 274% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+19.10 Units / 191% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 away games (+1.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 10-16 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -25.44% ROI).

  • 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -23.2% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -15.13% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 7.38% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 12-12 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.38% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 5.55% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -6.91% ROI

Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +210 0.5 -295
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +240 0.5 -325
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Skenes (PIT) 6.5 -105 6.5 -120
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) 7.5 +120 7.5 -155

Paul Skenes has not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (26/35) against Paul Skenes in two-strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (26/35) against Paul Skenes in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (24/31) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (40/63) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 35% (38 SO in 108 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 82% (28/34) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Pirates are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates are just 11-71 (.134) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.

The Pirates are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Dodgers are 181-32 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Dodgers are 115-59 (.661) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 17-3 (.850) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

Pirates hitters struck out 417 times in 1,598 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .668 (7,064 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 34% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers hitters have 345 extra-base hits out of 863 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (7,177 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (7,013 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.