- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 13-14 ATS.
Pirates vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-1, 3.46 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 2-0, 1.59 ERA
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -125 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+18.20 Units / 260% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (+18.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 15-12 against the Run Line (+0.26 Units / 0.68% ROI).
- 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.66% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.03 Units / 0.1% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 13-14 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -4.74% ROI).
- 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -12.57% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -12.13% ROI
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tom Murphy (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tom Murphy (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (106/182) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (106/182) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Martin Perez has walked 10 of 88 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 4th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Martin Perez has walked 10 of 88 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Jordan Hicks this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has allowed an OPS of just .257 (52 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has allowed an OBP of just .135 (52 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (129/202) against Jordan Hicks since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 51-171 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Pirates are 42-8 (.840) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Pirates are just 67-16 (.807) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Pirates are just 12-20 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 77-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are just 36-62 (.367) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are 28-14 (.667) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Pirates hitters have 154 strikeouts in 447 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of .983 (167 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .649.
The Giants are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,272 of 13,528 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have 45 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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