- The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Mets TV Channel: SNY | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-8 ATS.
Pirates vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-0, 1.90 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 5.40 ERA
Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Mets | -1.5 +160 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Pirates vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-4 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 38.88% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 33.03% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -11.11% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -16.22% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -5.16% ROI
Mets vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Mets vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (59/101) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (59/101) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (46/331) against Martin Perez in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .053 (1 Total Bases / 19 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (478/1,239) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Pirates were 30-10 (.750) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Pirates are just 12-18 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Pirates are 41-8 (.837) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Pirates are just 26-40 (.394) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mets are just 16-27 (.372) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Pirates hitters have 378 strikeouts in 1,124 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Pirates are batting just .232 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.167 (92 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Mets have scored 181 runs in close and late situations since the 2022 season — fewest in MLB.
Mets hitters have drawn 7 walks in 153 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .740 (8,882 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.58 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have 26 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 156 of 1,548 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Mets vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Pirates vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
