- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 8-6 ATS.
Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-0, 1.50 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+19.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+17.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+16.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 81 away games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 81 away games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 95 of their last 164 games (+16.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+9.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 164 games (+8.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 45% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 5-9 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -27.02% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -29.43% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.27% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -10.3% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-6 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.48% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -10.42% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.91% ROI
Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Endy Rodriguez (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .178 (35-for-197) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 99th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney walked 3 of 197 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 92 of Andrew Heaney’s 545 fastballs in off the plate (17%) since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 33 of Andrew Heaney’s 237 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (52/236) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (102/356) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (28/108) against Andrew Abbott on low breaking pitches since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 11-34 (.244) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .376 against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .681 (9,073 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .599 (423 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .043 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Reds are batting just .043 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .150 (173 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have 286 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers had 266 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2024 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 2 of 85 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.80 (60.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.48.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 33 of 488 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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