The Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Saturday, March 2, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland, FL.
This season, the Pirates are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 3-2 ATS.
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +110 |
| Tigers | -135 |
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Canaan Smith-Njigba has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Pirates are 3-4 against the Run Line (-1.57 Units / -18.07% ROI).
- 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.68 Units / -42.54% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 10.5% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -17.95% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.58 Units / 27.82% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -3.41% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.37 Units / -24.6% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.82 Units / 15.05% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roansy Contreras had an ERA of 6.59 (68.1 IP)in the 2023 season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — fifth Percentile.
43 of Roansy Contreras’ 55 strikeouts (78%) came on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 95th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras threw his slider 44% of the time (503/1,141) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras walked 32 of 302 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty walked 39 of 236 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .317 (357 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .438 (7-for-16) against Jack Flaherty in close and late situations in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 56-80 (.412) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Pirates were 34-7 (.829) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Pirates are just 111-56 (.665) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Pirates are just 33-43 (.434) after a home win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters slugged just .511 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 42% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates hitters slugged just .383 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Tigers batted just .211 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Pirates pitchers had allowed a run 36% of the time after scoring a run on offense in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Andrew McCutchen (Pittsburgh Pirates): Achilles, Out
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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