Pirates vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

min read
Detroit Tigers' Spencer Torkelson celebrates his three-run home run against the Kansas City Royals in the seventh inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 28, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Tigers are -160 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-160) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Pirates are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 24-29 ATS.

Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-4, 3.07 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 6-1, 2.25 ERA

Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -165O 7 -125+135
Tigers -1.5 +140U 7 +105-160

Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+10.50 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 29-25 against the Run Line (+1.76 Units / 2.44% ROI).

  • 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -9.51% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.02% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.22 Units / -5.43% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 24-29 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -10.44% ROI).

  • 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.42% ROI
  • 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 9.1% ROI
  • 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -18.44% ROI

Tigers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Edward Olivares (PIT) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Tigers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

Tigers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal (DET) 7.5 -135 7.5 +105
Jared Jones (PIT) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (33/84) against Jared Jones on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (171/482) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (296/411) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .429 (9-for-21) against Jared Jones — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (32 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .225 (231 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .091 (5-for-55) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .202 — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Pirates are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Pirates are 72-18 (.800) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Pirates are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Pirates are 49-8 (.860) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Tigers are 66-25 (.725) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Tigers are just 26-143 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Tigers are just 88-7 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Tigers are 42-14 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.

The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .677 (9,618 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,538 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (6,901 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,354 of 14,556 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.55 (1719.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Pirates pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 287 of 3,346 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 143 of 1,975 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Tigers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.