- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: BSSW | SCHN | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 4-10 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 1-1, 4.27 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: J.P. France 0-1, 4.77 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -115 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -130 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+21.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 93 of their last 167 games (+27.18 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 165 games (+23.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 98 of their last 165 games (+22.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -10.17% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -8.91% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -25.36% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 16.78% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-10 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -33.11% ROI).
- 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -48.9% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -25% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 15.91% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France (HOU) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (28/53) this season — 4th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Dane Dunning with two-strikes this season — 6th best among in AL; League Avg: .153 — 90th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has located his sliders away 84% of the time (42/50) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Dane Dunning with two-strikes this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .157 — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (10/39) against J.P. France this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .238 (5-for-21) against J.P. France with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among in AL; League Avg: .153 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (26/207) against J.P. France on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
J.P. France has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (18/36) of opposing batters this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are 35-15 (.700) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-56 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers were 24-20 (.545) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 62-42 (.596) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Astros are 41-22 (.651) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Astros were 72-6 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Astros are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 675 strikeouts in 3,805 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .913 (507 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6 of 117 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 22% against Rangers pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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