- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: FS1 | BSSW | SCHN
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 4-11 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-2, 7.57 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 2-0, 0.00 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -115 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -105 | -150 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+21.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 93 of their last 167 games (+27.18 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 165 games (+23.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 98 of their last 165 games (+22.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -3.97% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -16.83% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.95% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-11 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -37.38% ROI).
- 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -52.2% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.51% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (316/587) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 53% (9/17) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .169 (14-for-83) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (58/108) against Andrew Heaney in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .022 (1-for-46) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a slugging percentage of just .022 (1 Total Bases / 46 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among in AL; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed an OPS of just .156 (52 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-144 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers were 24-20 (.545) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Rangers were just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 16-13 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are 115-83 (.581) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Astros were 72-6 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Rangers hitters drew 165 walks in 1,624 PA’s (10%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Astros hitters put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 677 strikeouts in 3,811 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have walked 68 of 589 batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros pitchers have walked 17 of 132 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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