- The Astros are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: SCH2 | BSWX
The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 4-11 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 1-0, 1.45 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 1-0, 1.10 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.45 Units / 148% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.95 Units / 132% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.85 Units / 128% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Chas McCormick has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 93 of their last 167 games (+27.18 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 165 games (+23.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 98 of their last 165 games (+22.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -3.97% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -16.83% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.95% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-11 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -37.38% ROI).
- 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -52.2% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.51% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/361) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Nathan Eovaldi’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: .215 — 93rd Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Nathan Eovaldi’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a strike rate of just 58% (162/280) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (78/355) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (44/220) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-145 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers were 54-36 (.600) after a win in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Rangers are 57-41 (.582) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 62-42 (.596) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 141-21 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .269 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 678 strikeouts in 3,837 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 47% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .935 (519 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 7 of 134 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 7.47 (59.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Astros pitchers have walked 72 of 625 batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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