- The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Braves TV Channel: ATV+
The Texas Rangers (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rangers are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-9 ATS.
Rangers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-2, 6.76 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 1-1, 4.68 ERA
Rangers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -105 | +165 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -115 | -200 |
Rangers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+5.60 Units / 79% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+24.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 162 games (+19.53 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 10-10 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -6.95% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.01% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.47% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -5.13% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 8-9 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 8.57% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 19.14% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -26.26% ROI
Braves vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Braves vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 62% of the time (31/50) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (24-for-142) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 99th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (274/563) when behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (370/789) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (191/391) against Chris Sale with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (98/225) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 46% (21/46) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strike rate of 69% (195/281) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are just 2-147 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 145-24 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are 26-23 (.531) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Rangers are 13-12 (.520) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are 49-43 (.533) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 34-50 (.405) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rangers hitters have just 110 strikeouts in 618 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,689/13,110 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .800 (9,742 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Braves hitters are slugging .472 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .844 (6,934 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters are slugging .473 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have 35 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
The Rangers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 44% of their games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves have allowed 7.33 runs per game (44/6) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 6.38 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Braves vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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