- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSSW | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+130) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rangers are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-9 ATS.
Rangers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Rangers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -115 | +130 |
| Braves | -1.5 +130 | U 9 -105 | -155 |
Rangers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 89 of their last 161 games (+23.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 94 of their last 161 games (+18.53 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 10-11 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.8% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -9.96% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.97% ROI).
- 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 11.01% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 23.27% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -30.67% ROI
Braves vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a .518 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .226 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (54/371) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (53/335) against Nathan Eovaldi since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 14 opportunities (29%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (239/711) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (279/777) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 57 of 572 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are just 2-147 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-59 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 82-53 (.607) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are 34-50 (.405) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Braves are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 49-43 (.533) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters are slugging .488 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rangers are batting .274 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,694/13,144 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .472 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .392 (813 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .496 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 38 of 271 batters (14%) over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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