- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Braves Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Rangers / Braves TV Channel: ESPN
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rangers are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 10-9 ATS.
Rangers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Darius Vines 0-0, 1.93 ERA
Rangers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -145 | O 10 -115 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | U 10 -105 | -160 |
Rangers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+5.60 Units / 79% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Sam Huff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.80 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 89 of their last 161 games (+23.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 94 of their last 161 games (+18.53 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 10-12 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -15.26% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.99% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -5.49% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 10-9 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 7.41% ROI).
- 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 13.43% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 16.14% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -24.47% ROI
Braves vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.9 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (109 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 12% (20 SO in 162 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 18% (77 SO in 418 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 18% (45 SO in 256 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Darius Vines has limited playing time.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are just 2-149 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 35-16 (.686) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rangers are just 6-136 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 42-39 (.519) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are 34-50 (.405) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Braves are 49-43 (.533) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Braves are 174-35 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters are slugging .488 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,695/13,178 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Rangers are batting .274 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .845 (7,008 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters are slugging .597 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .392 (822 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .714 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 62 of 535 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 90 of 832 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.9 MPH (419 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Braves vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Rangers vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
