Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 27

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Arizona Diamondbacks designated hitter Lourdes Gurriel Jr. bats during the third inning of a baseball game, Saturday, June 10, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 11:01 AM

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.

Last season, the Rangers were 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks were 1-2 ATS.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rangers+100
Diamondbacks -120

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 98 of their last 171 games (+14.29 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Rangers went 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 27% ROI
  • 0-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • 4-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 85.11% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Diamondbacks went 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -26.67% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -41.11% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI

Dane Dunning allowed a slugging percentage of .326 (106 Total Bases / 325 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents batted .200 (65-for-325) against Dane Dunning with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.

81% of Dane Dunning’s non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.

Dane Dunning had an average fastball velocity of just 90.9 MPH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eduardo Rodriguez had an ERA of 1.19 (60.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — 100th Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (18 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 99th Percentile.

Eduardo Rodriguez threw breaking pitches away 69% of the time (112/163) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .179 (30-for-168) against Eduardo Rodriguez versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 95th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Diamondbacks hitters missed on just 23% of swings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,706 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
  • Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
  • Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.