Rangers vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2024, 11:00 AM
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  • Rangers vs Dodgers Over / Under today: Runs
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The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Rangers are 31-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 34-33 ATS.

Rangers vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 5-1, 4.25 ERA

Rangers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -160O -110+125
Dodgers -1.5 +135U -110-150

Rangers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+18.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+16.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 22 games (+16.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.30 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+14.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+8.75 Units / 219% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 28-37 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 23-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.1 Units / -27.96% ROI
  • 39-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.95 Units / 19.62% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 34-33 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -4.68% ROI).

  • 41-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -6.36% ROI
  • 33-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.34% ROI
  • 33-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.99% ROI

Dodgers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Dodgers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -150
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Paxton (LAD) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (103/212) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (12-for-84) against Dane Dunning when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 99th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has walked 13 of 81 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 60% (513/854) this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

James Paxton has walked 17 of 91 batters (19%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 30 of 232 batters (13%) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 10 of 50 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 28 of 191 right-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rangers are just 6-11 (.353) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Rangers are just 3-172 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rangers are just 5-80 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .765.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Dodgers are 50-20 (.714) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 227-41 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Dodgers are 250-116 (.683) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Dodgers are 199-13 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (351/2,450 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.

Rangers hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 172 total hits (just 22%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .765 (6,387 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,306 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,860 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Dodgers hitters have 387 extra-base hits out of 969 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,376 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 234 of 2,423 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.