- The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Texas Rangers (-125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 5-8 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 0-0, 3.38 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 0-2, 5.91 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | O 6.5 -102 | -125 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | U 6.5 -118 | +105 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 105% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.50 Units / 158% ROI)
- Bryce Miller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 122% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 92 of their last 161 games (+12.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games at home (+16.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 84 games at home (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 84 games at home (+2.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 84 games at home (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -14.4% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 34.29% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -26.15% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 16.96% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -21.7% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -29.43% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -26.15% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 17.24% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 60% of Jacob deGrom’s pitches (93/155) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (14 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (34/77) against Jacob deGrom this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (7-for-21) against Jacob deGrom with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .233 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .179 (17-for-95) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 95th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .231 (324 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has walked 13 of 297 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Rangers are just 10-63 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Rangers are 6-2 (.750) after a win this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Rangers are 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are just 10-28 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Mariners are 11-62 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners are 77-16 (.828) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .257 (339 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters are averaging just 3.62 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 52% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 97 of 1,544 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (740.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Rangers pitchers have walked 34 of 473 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 84 of 1,562 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 418 of 6,320 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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