- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rangers are 37-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 47-34 ATS.
Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 3-2, 2.70 ERA
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+16.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+20.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-45 against the Run Line (-14.15 Units / -13.61% ROI).
- 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 30-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -24.33% ROI
- 47-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 16.31% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-34 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 21.63% ROI).
- 51-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 9.17% ROI
- 41-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 10.76% ROI
- 29-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -18.36% ROI
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (TEX) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (127 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (445/636) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 33% (53 SO in 161 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .471 (72 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .727 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (12-for-30) against Albert Suarez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .244 — fourth Percentile.
75% of Albert Suarez’s called strikeouts are low this season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (21/60) against Albert Suarez in two-strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Rangers are just 5-88 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 9-163 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 3-180 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 27-16 (.628) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 29-33 (.468) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .462 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .899 (551 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.045.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .269 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .799 (4,520 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .827 (965 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Orioles hitters are slugging .281 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Orioles hitters are slugging .560 against RHP this month (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Orioles hitters are slugging .466 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 293 of 3,022 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (356.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 44 of 731 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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