- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Orioles TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rangers are 37-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 47-35 ATS.
Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-3, 3.07 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-2, 4.16 ERA
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+17.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+19.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 67 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 37-45 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -12.42% ROI).
- 37-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -14.72% ROI
- 30-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -25.17% ROI
- 48-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.45 Units / 17.2% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-35 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 20.35% ROI).
- 52-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 9.94% ROI
- 41-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 30-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -16.99% ROI
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (TEX) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .119 (15-for-126) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .389 (144 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .146 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (21 Total Bases / 126 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (5/39) against Cade Povich over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (5/39) against Cade Povich — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Cade Povich has allowed a slugging percentage of .609 (14 Total Bases / 23 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .395 — 10th Percentile.
Cade Povich has walked 6 of 36 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 9-164 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 12-13 (.480) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Rangers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rangers are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 27-16 (.628) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 296 of 3,054 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 46 of 740 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Orioles pitchers have walked 244 of 3,635 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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