- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers / Rays TV Channel: FS1 | BSSW | BSFL
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Rangers are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 2-2 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 98 of their last 171 games (+14.29 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 93 of their last 163 games (+13.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 18.42% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 28.36% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -33.85% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 13.04% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -9% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 41.57% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -52.87% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning allowed a slugging percentage of .326 (106 Total Bases / 325 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — eighth Percentile.
70% of Dane Dunning’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
81% of Dane Dunning’s non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted .200 (65-for-325) against Dane Dunning with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers were just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 6-128 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers were 54-36 (.600) after a win in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had an OPS of .547 (3,317 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Rays batted .265 on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 22% against Rangers pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 44% of their games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 831 of 12,017 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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