The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-135) on Wednesday, March 6, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Rangers are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 6-3 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +115 |
| Rockies | -135 |
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 98 of their last 171 games (+14.29 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 6-5 against the Run Line (+1.18 Units / 8.44% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 14.73% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.27 Units / -19.03% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.76 Units / 14.29% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 6-3 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 31.62% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.24 Units / 64.33% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.22% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.58 Units / -36.23% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to August 29th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Andrew Heaney spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (293/543) of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .169 (14-for-83) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 99th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney threw fastballs up 63% of the time (948/1,506) in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland allowed a slugging percentage of .732 (52 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on changeups in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .437 (31-for-71) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .275 (82-for-298) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Freeland recorded no strikeouts in 16 PA’s (0% strikeout rate) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
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