- The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rangers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rangers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | MLBN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Rangers are 22-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 17-20 ATS.
Rangers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 1-1, 2.50 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-2, 3.83 ERA
Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -110 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -110 | +150 |
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+16.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+14.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 144 games (+16.73 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games at home (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-21 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -9.59% ROI).
- 22-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.9% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -16.59% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 7.79% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 17-20 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -14.98% ROI).
- 9-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -38.09% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -9.38% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.88% ROI
Rockies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Duran (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Rockies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 30% (22/74) against Jon Gray this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 56% of the time (177/313) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 52% of the time (228/443) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .268 (72-for-269) against Jon Gray when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 11th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 16% (9 SO in 56 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has struck out just 14% (17/125) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rangers are just 3-155 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rangers are just 153-24 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are just 4-67 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rockies are just 48-23 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 49-30 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Rockies are just 16-55 (.225) after a road loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .783 (5,739 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,057 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .335 (5,739 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .267 (4,090 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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