Rangers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 12, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rangers are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rangers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Rangers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (-150) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Rangers are 22-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 19-20 ATS.

Rangers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 1-2, 3.86 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 0-1, 3.46 ERA

Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +100O 11 -115-150
Rockies +1.5 -120U 11 -105+125

Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+16.00 Units / 145% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Davis Wendzel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.50 Units / 330% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+16.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 141 games (+14.18 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games at home (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-23 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -13.4% ROI).

  • 22-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -3.56% ROI
  • 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -15.98% ROI
  • 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 7.31% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 19-20 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -9.98% ROI).

  • 11-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -28.61% ROI
  • 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.72% ROI

Rockies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +325 0.5 -400
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Bouchard (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Travis Jankowski (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Marcus Semien (TEX) 1.5 -105 1.5 -120

Rockies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -105 0.5 -120
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Rockies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty Blach (COL) 2.5 -120 2.5 -110

4 of Jose Urena’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among AL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 95th Percentile.

Jose Urena has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (51/107) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (51/107) this season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (26/45) against Jose Urena this season — 14th highest among among 106 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 87th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (14/96) against Ty Blach this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Ty Blach has a strikeout rate of just 10% (5 SO in 51 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Ty Blach has a strikeout rate of just 10% (5 SO in 51 PAs) this season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (7/57) against Ty Blach this season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rangers are just 153-24 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Rangers are just 3-155 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 8-142 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rockies are just 48-23 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Rockies are just 52-15 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rockies are just 42-27 (.609) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

team hitters – away

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 65%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Rangers won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.88 (172.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rockies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.