Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 24

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(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 10:42 AM
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The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Saturday, February 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

Last season, the Rangers were 103-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals were 72-90 ATS.

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rangers+115
Royals -135

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Rangers went 100-79 against the Run Line (+22.7 Units / 10.02% ROI).

  • 103-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 2.66% ROI
  • 93-77 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 3.99% ROI
  • 77-93 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.05 Units / -12.76% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Royals went 72-90 against the Run Line (-32.95 Units / -16.78% ROI).

  • 56-106 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.15 Units / -16.13% ROI
  • 79-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -3.23% ROI
  • 76-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -6.16% ROI

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.

Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
  • Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.