The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Saturday, March 23, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Rangers are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 9-8 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +100 |
| Royals | -120 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 98 of their last 171 games (+14.29 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 10-12 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -8.28% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -11.12% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -2.83% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 6.82% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 4.28% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -38.07% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 29.26% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 54% of Nathan Eovaldi’s pitches (357/666) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 17% (33/194) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .164 (33 GB hits out of 201 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (25/171) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Sauer is making his MLB debut today.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 75-51 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Royals were just 21-28 (.429) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .788 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .567 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 134 times since the 2022 season — 5th most in MLB.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
Bet now on Rangers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
