- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Rangers are 17-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 21-11 ATS.
Rangers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-1, 4.24 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-1, 2.65 ERA
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -110 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -110 | -115 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.60 Units / 170% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+15.95 Units / 106% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 52% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 150 games (+18.83 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 15-17 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 17-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -22.14% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 13.28% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 21-11 against the Run Line (+6.54 Units / 14.03% ROI).
- 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 22.76% ROI
- 10-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -31.67% ROI
- 19-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 23.39% ROI
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (93/549) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Michael Lorenzen when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 4th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (2 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .357 — 97th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 19% (81 SO in 436 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (35/50) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 36 of 315 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 2-153 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 150-24 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are just 1-72 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rangers are just 6-140 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 13-87 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 19-45 (.297) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Royals are just 11-15 (.423) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .827 (3,799 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters are slugging .481 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,574 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .244 (283 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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