- The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Rangers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Rangers are 17-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-11 ATS.
Rangers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 3-2, 4.18 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-3, 4.28 ERA
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.60 Units / 140% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+14.95 Units / 93% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+14.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 80 of their last 149 games (+17.83 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 85 of their last 149 games (+12.38 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 15-18 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -13.39% ROI).
- 17-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -24.62% ROI
- 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 15.64% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 22-11 against the Run Line (+8.24 Units / 17.31% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 24.7% ROI
- 10-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -33.9% ROI
- 20-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 25.53% ROI
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (68/135) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (44/109) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (79/238) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (68/135) this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (13/48) against Michael Wacha this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (16-for-46) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — fifth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strikeout rate of just 15% (8 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strikeout rate of just 15% (8 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers are just 2-154 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 6-141 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 1-73 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Royals are just 13-87 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 19-45 (.297) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .827 (3,799 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,737/13,565 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .223 (283 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 18 of 291 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .244 (291 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Royals pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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