- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Rangers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-130) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Rangers are 18-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-12 ATS.
Rangers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 1-1, 2.48 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -110 | -130 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 116% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+16.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+15.15 Units / 76% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 80 of their last 149 games (+17.83 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 85 of their last 149 games (+12.38 Units / 7% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -9.77% ROI).
- 18-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -3.12% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -21.21% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 12.25% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 22-12 against the Run Line (+6.49 Units / 13.15% ROI).
- 20-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 21.14% ROI
- 11-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -30.12% ROI
- 20-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 21.73% ROI
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of 37% (22 SO in 59 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (81/135) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 58% of the time (90/156) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 44% of the time (48/109) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .455 (45-for-99) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 0 Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .818 (81 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .582 — second Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (120 Total Bases / 231 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (24/148) against Daniel Lynch on changeups since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 6-141 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 2-66 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are 36-20 (.643) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers are just 2-154 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 13-88 (.129) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 19-45 (.297) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .781 (5,650 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters are slugging .481 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .827 (3,799 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .327 (968 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .223 (292 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .243 (300 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Rangers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
