- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Twins TV Channel: RASN | TWTV
The Texas Rangers (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rangers are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 36-30 ATS.
Rangers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 4-2, 3.49 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 0-1, 5.52 ERA
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -180 | O 8.5 -120 | +130 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 +100 | -155 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+19.20 Units / 274% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 games (+8.40 Units / 168% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 65% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 67 games (+21.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 67 games (+19.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (+4.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 35-31 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 0.97% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 21-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.65 Units / -38.03% ROI
- 45-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.65 Units / 28.98% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 36-30 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 7.38% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.37% ROI
- 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -15.61% ROI
- 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 7.13% ROI
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
55% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .213 (20-for-94) against Jack Leiter in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 99th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 57% (159/281) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Jack Leiter has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (24 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has allowed a slugging percentage of .882 (15 Total Bases / 17 ABs) this month (1 game) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .402 — second Percentile.
David Festa has an ERA of 19.64 (3.2 IP)this month (1 game) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — 0 Percentile.
David Festa has allowed an OPS of 1.303 (19 PA’s) this month (1 game) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .709 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (3/11) against David Festa this month (1 game) — tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 11-75 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .194.
The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Rangers are 113-80 (.585) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers are just 45-69 (.395) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are 22-12 (.647) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Twins are 170-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Twins are 77-32 (.706) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .140 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,392 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .210 (1,261 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are just 17-36 (.321) against the run line (-36.1% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Rangers (18th best runs scored) today.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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