Rangers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Rangers vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rangers / White Sox TV Channel: KDAF | CHSN

The Texas Rangers (-190) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+154) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.

This season, the Rangers are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 26-24 ATS.

Rangers vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 5-1, 1.48 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 2-5, 4.72 ERA

Rangers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 -110O 8 -105-190
White Sox +1.5 -110U 8 -115+154

Rangers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonah Heim has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tim Elko has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.40 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.45 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games at home (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 1.56% ROI).

  • 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -5.03% ROI
  • 15-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.65 Units / -41.03% ROI
  • 35-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 32.19% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 26-24 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.43% ROI).

  • 15-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.36 Units / -22.67% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -10.24% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 1.55% ROI

White Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Joc Pederson (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

White Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

White Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Jake Burger (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

White Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Mahle (TEX) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Sean Burke (CWS) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .284 (25 Total Bases / 88 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .530 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (4-for-23) against Tyler Mahle on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 97th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (49 Total Bases / 195 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has located his breaking pitches away 82% of the time (79/96) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Burke has walked 25% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Sean Burke has walked 17% of batters this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Sean Burke has walked 26% of left-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Sean Burke has walked 25% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rangers are just 42-63 (.400) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Rangers are 111-78 (.587) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rangers are just 10-138 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The White Sox are just 36-119 (.232) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 23-84 (.215) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The White Sox are just 46-26 (.639) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers are batting just .135 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (10,293 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .618 (7,669 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.