- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: RASN | YES | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Thursday, May 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Rangers are 25-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 25-23 ATS.
Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 4-2, 1.62 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 5-3, 3.15 ERA
Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | O 7 -110 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -110 | -160 |
Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Heim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+16.60 Units / 166% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jasson Dominguez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games (+4.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.97 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.36 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 26-23 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.08% ROI).
- 25-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 15-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.65 Units / -39.94% ROI
- 34-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 31.09% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-23 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 8.85% ROI).
- 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -11.63% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.92 Units / 3.61% ROI
Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Higashioka (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Nathan Eovaldi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .221 (231 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .157 (17-for-108) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .191 (89 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .305 this season — tied for ninth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .435 last season — ninth worst among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a SLG of just .289 vs right-handed batters this season — eighth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .454 vs right-handed batters last season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– 10th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a in-zone of just 42% (304/717) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a in-zone of just 44% (429/966) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are 111-78 (.587) at home since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rangers are just 20-31 (.392) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 10-137 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rangers are just 14-123 (.102) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 52-29 (.642) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rangers (20th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .135 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .334 (4,682 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters slugged .456 against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting .340 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .166 against Rangers pitchers this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .177 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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