- The Astros are -170 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: FSUN | SCHN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-170) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rays are 29-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-25 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 3-5, 3.56 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 4-4, 3.44 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -110 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -110 | -170 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.90 Units / 186% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+22.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+18.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.60 Units / 223% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+12.42 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-29 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -3.42% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.77 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 21-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -23.1% ROI
- 32-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 15.59% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 31-25 against the Run Line (+7.77 Units / 10.82% ROI).
- 30-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.81% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -17.97% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 9.14% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (399/661) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,071/2,598) in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez induced opposing hitters to ground into 32 double plays in 147 opportunities (22%) in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 15-150 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 145-14 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rays are 156-9 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were 20-18 (.526) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Astros are 18-7 (.720) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters had an OPS of .774 (4,837 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,032/14,443 PA’s) since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 57 double plays in 357 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Astros pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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