- The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Thursday, May 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 19-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 26-16 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-5, 4.41 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 3-3, 4.00 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -102 | +145 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -118 | -175 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Zack Littell has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+7.30 Units / 183% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+8.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.44 Units / 60% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 18-24 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -15.32% ROI).
- 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.32 Units / -12.07% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -22.34% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 14.71% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 26-16 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 13.35% ROI).
- 21-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.24 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -4.19% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 75% of Zack Littell’s pitches (138/185) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 76% (141/185) in two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 76% (141/185) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located his fastball up for a strike 76% (339/448) of the time in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman located 58% of his pitches away (875/1,520) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .208 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Rays are just 11-17 (.393) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Rays are 15-146 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .290 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .571 (492 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .243 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.
30% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .389 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 62% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 62% of the time this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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