- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Rays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rays are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-14 ATS.
Rays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-2, 3.77 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-0, 3.50 ERA
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+17.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 16 games (+17.00 Units / 106% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-19 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -26.56% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -24.23% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 11.79% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -21.41% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-14 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -11.02% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 26.54% ROI
- 17-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 21.6% ROI
- 10-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -28.83% ROI
Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Harold Ramirez (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Richard Palacios (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (39/100) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (39/100) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (48/158) against Ryan Pepiot on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OBP of just .182 (55 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (127/696) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (161/887) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (282/1,567) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (79/423) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 12-30 (.286) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 17-7 (.708) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 8-68 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 33-27 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are 29-2 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Brewers are just 20-70 (.222) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 4 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (50%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
29% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 79 strikeouts in 295 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .232 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .582 (163 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Brewers are batting just .179 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers hitters have drawn 21 walks in 163 PA’s (13%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 63 of 527 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
Bet now on Rays vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
