- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-160) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rays are 14-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-15 ATS.
Rays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-0, 4.75 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 2-0, 3.18 ERA
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 17 games (+16.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 28 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 11-19 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -22.27% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -21.07% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -17.67% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-15 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -13.27% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 22.06% ROI
- 17-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 17.21% ROI
- 11-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -24.6% ROI
Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Wiemer (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (212/286) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (212/286) since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (11/97) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (11/97) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (3-for-42) against Freddy Peralta’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 60% (275/461) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% (38 SO in 114 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 12-30 (.286) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 17-7 (.708) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 22-38 (.367) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 26-47 (.356) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Brewers are 29-2 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 40-92 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 20% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays hitters have 5 strikeouts in 9 PA’s (56%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have 158 strikeouts in 478 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging .434 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .436 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
Brewers hitters have 159 extra-base hits out of 586 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 917 of 13,077 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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