- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
- Rays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Brewers TV Channel: BSUN | BSWI | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rays are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 14-15 ATS.
Rays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 1-3, 4.08 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 3.26 ERA
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -110 | -120 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -110 | +100 |
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 18 games (+15.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 11-20 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -25.13% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -22.99% ROI
- 18-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 10.74% ROI
- 13-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -20.32% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 14-15 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -9.99% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 23.9% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 19.78% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -27.17% ROI
Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 333 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 54 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (5/43) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 148 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (20/48) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (20/48) over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (21 Total Bases / 103 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .443 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (12/88) against Colin Rea — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rays are just 5-17 (.227) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are just 12-31 (.279) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 17-7 (.708) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 29-2 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Brewers are 33-27 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are 90-66 (.577) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 6 strikeouts in 10 PA’s (60%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 19% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays hitters have 83 strikeouts in 304 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 35 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have 855 strikeouts in 3,447 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have 160 extra-base hits out of 591 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 922 of 13,117 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 200 of 3,166 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (552.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Brewers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
Bet now on Rays vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
