- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Mets TV Channel: FSUN | WPIX
The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-155) on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rays are 38-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 39-32 ATS.
Rays vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 5-3, 4.99 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 6-2, 3.24 ERA
Rays vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -118 | +130 |
| Mets | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -102 | -155 |
Rays vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.30 Units / 333% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.30 Units / 204% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 23 away games (+13.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+9.99 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 35-35 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.33 Units / 3.81% ROI
- 27-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 40-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.85 Units / 14.25% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 39-32 against the Run Line (+7.19 Units / 7.75% ROI).
- 45-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 7.98% ROI
- 27-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -24.87% ROI
- 42-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.2 Units / 15.71% ROI
Mets vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has a strike rate of 73% (239/326) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Shane Baz has a in-zone of 50% (163/326) in two strike counts this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Shane Baz has thrown 55% of his pitches in the strike zone (276/501) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 87th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .842 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .662 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .552 (48 Total Bases / 87 ABs) on fastballs away in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — fifth Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of .903 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Rays are 16-153 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 89-25 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Rays are 104-24 (.812) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets are 40-10 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Mets are 134-99 (.575) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .167 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .811 (858 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .219 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 67 double plays in 447 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 33% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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