- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Padres
- Rays vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Padres TV Channel: FSUN | PDTV
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Sunday, April 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA, CA.
This season, the Rays are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 15-12 ATS.
Rays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-5, 5.28 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-2, 3.97 ERA
Rays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -118 | -105 |
| Padres | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -102 | -115 |
Rays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+7.90 Units / 198% ROI)
- Kameron Misner has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+11.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 66% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 12-15 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -12.04% ROI).
- 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 7.07% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 15-12 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 5.25% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 18.16% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -24.53% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 15.44% ROI
Padres vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -295 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Padres vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oscar Gonzalez (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Padres vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 57% of the time (50/87) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (50/87) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .463 (25 Total Bases / 54 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.
29% of Zack Littell’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 7% (17/251) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez struck out just 8% (16/198) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 21% of right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has a strike rate of just 56% (215/383) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rays are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 14-138 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 128-21 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rays are 90-23 (.796) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Padres are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Padres are 35-33 (.515) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Rays (29th best runs scored) today.
The Padres were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres were 11-59 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .272 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 25 double plays in 167 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,499 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres have allowed 0.48 runs per game (13/27) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Padres pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Rays vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
