- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: FSUN | NESN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Rays are 36-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-34 ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 3-5, 3.21 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 1-1, 6.49 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -120 | -110 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 +100 | -110 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.10 Units / 97% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.96 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 32-34 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.79% ROI).
- 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.78 Units / 3.34% ROI
- 25-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -23.4% ROI
- 38-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.05 Units / 15.39% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 33-34 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.42% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.86 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.42 Units / -5.9% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -2.88% ROI
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Lucas Giolito (BOS) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of .799 (794 PA’s) in 2023 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — eighth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (279 Total Bases / 391 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (26/156) against Lucas Giolito when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (9/35) against Lucas Giolito’s changeup this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 48% — sixth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 16-151 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 6-25 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rays are 160-9 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox are just 4-169 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 16-152 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters are slugging just .372 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox are batting .374 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 64 double plays in 418 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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