- The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rays vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Rays / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-150) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Rays are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 3-5 ATS.
Rays vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 0-0, 9.01 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 0-1, 5.07 ERA
Rays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -105 | O 11 +100 | -150 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | U 11 -120 | +125 |
Rays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 3-5 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -13.71% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -33.8% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -28.81% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -28.96% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -37.5% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 41.76% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -50.59% ROI
Rockies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Montero | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| McMahon | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Doyle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Blackmon | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Feltner | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (148/203) since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (7/55) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has walked 7 of 204 batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Tyler Alexander’s K:BB ratio was 8.8 (44/5) in the 2023 season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.7 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .391 (34-for-87) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has an ERA of 5.81 (145.2 IP)since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (297/1,224) against Ryan Feltner since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (12/22) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rays are just 4-13 (.235) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Rays are 16-6 (.696) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Rays are just 11-27 (.289) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rockies are just 43-20 (.683) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 16-15 (.516) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .280 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 10.80 (8.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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