- The Rays are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rays vs Rockies Over / Under today: 12 Runs
- Rays / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Rays are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 3-6 ATS.
Rays vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 0-1, 9.54 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 0-1, 0.00 ERA
Rays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -110 | O 11.5 -110 | -160 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 11.5 -110 | +135 |
Rays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Dakota Hudson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.27 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 4-5 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.54% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -21.67% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 27.69% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -37.31% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -37.5% ROI).
- 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -44.44% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 47.52% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -56.7% ROI
Rockies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paredes | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Siri | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Arozarena | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Pinto | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ramirez | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rockies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pepiot | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Hudson | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (179/929) against Dakota Hudson since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 10% (4/39) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 64 opportunities (23%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 12% (47 SO in 376 PAs) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rays are just 11-27 (.289) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays were 20-27 (.426) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 47-14 (.770) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 16-16 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies were just 45-13 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .270 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters were successful in 90% of their bunt for hit attempts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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